Hedge Funds Take Diverging Paths with Alibaba: A Tale of Bulls and Bears

Hedge Funds Take Diverging Paths with Alibaba: A Tale of Bulls and Bears

 


Introduction

The first quarter of this year witnessed contrasting strategies among top hedge funds concerning their positions on Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., the Chinese e-commerce giant. While renowned money manager Michael Burry made headlines with bullish bets on Alibaba and other stocks, a number of Asia-based hedge funds chose to offload their positions. This article examines the insights provided by 13F filings and sheds light on the actions taken by various hedge funds in response to evolving market conditions.


Bullish Buyers

Michael Burry's bullish stance on Alibaba was echoed by other prominent hedge funds. Moore Capital Management and Third Point LLC emerged as significant buyers of Alibaba's US-traded shares in the first quarter. These funds, along with Aspex Management (HK) Ltd., overseen by Hermes Li, accounted for a substantial increase in the number of shares held by hedge funds during this period.


Asia-Based Hedge Funds Sell

In contrast to the bullish sentiment displayed by certain hedge funds, several Asia-based firms opted to sell off their positions in Alibaba during the first quarter. Notably, Segantii Capital Management Ltd., Alpine Investment Management Ltd., and other Asia-based firms accounted for a significant portion of Alibaba American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) sold during this period. Tairen Capital Ltd., Prime Capital Management Co. Ltd., and CoreView Capital Management Ltd. completely exited their positions. Segantii and Ariose Capital Management Ltd. were among the funds that significantly reduced their Alibaba ADR holdings.


Factors Influencing the Selling Decision

The decline in Alibaba's ADR value played a crucial role in the selling decisions of Asia-based hedge funds. Since reaching its peak in January, Alibaba ADRs have lost approximately one third of their value, mainly due to SoftBank Group Corp.'s plan to reduce its stake and mounting geopolitical tensions. These factors likely prompted some Asia-based funds to reassess their positions and capitalize on the deteriorating market sentiment.


Limitations of 13F Filings

While 13F filings offer valuable insights into hedge fund trading, it's important to acknowledge their limitations. These filings provide a snapshot of funds' bullish bets at the end of each quarter, excluding bearish wagers and intra-quarter trading activities. Additionally, since Asia-based hedge funds predominantly invest outside of U.S. exchanges, their 13F filings only reveal a fraction of their overall investments.


Asia-Based Hedge Funds' Investment Strategies

Asia-based hedge funds often allocate the majority of their capital to non-U.S. exchanges, making it challenging to fully capture their investment activities through 13F filings. Stringent disclosure requirements in jurisdictions like Hong Kong, where several U.S.-traded Chinese companies have dual listings, contribute to the limited information available. Consequently, it remains unclear whether the ADR trades observed were part of a switch between ADRs and Hong Kong shares or a component of hedged trades involving Hong Kong stocks.


Alternative Holdings: Trip.com and Baidu

Despite offloading Alibaba, the six Asian hedge funds identified in the analysis made notable investments in other Chinese companies during the first quarter. Trip.com Group Ltd., a Chinese online travel agent, attracted significant attention from Ariose, CoreView, Segantii, and Tairen, all of which more than tripled their combined Trip.com ADR holdings. Baidu Inc., with its introduction of China's answer to ChatGPT and a planned $5 billion share buyback, also garnered interest from CoreView and Segantii, leading to new positions being established.


Conclusion

The divergent actions taken by hedge funds regarding their positions on Alibaba highlight the nuanced approach to investing in Chinese companies. While some prominent funds, including Michael Burry's, increased their bullish bets on Alibaba, Asia-based hedge funds chose to reduce or exit their positions. The dynamics of SoftBank's stake reduction, geopolitical tensions, and the fluctuating value of Alibaba ADRs have significantly influenced hedge fund decisions. These developments, along with the limitations of 13F filings, underscore the complexity of understanding hedge fund strategies and their responses to evolving market conditions.